Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (103-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 40 | 8-12 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 38 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 28 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alec Burks | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 35 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lou Williams | 33 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| John Jenkins | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter