Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +20 (99-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 40 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 27 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 4 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke Zeller | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 34 | 8-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 24 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tornike Shengelia | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyshawn Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter