Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (103-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 39 | 9-19 | 2-8 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 23 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Greg Smith | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 18 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| James Anderson | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 29 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 25 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jared Sullinger | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter