Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (81-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Chandler * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Chris Copeland * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| JR Smith | 40 | 10-29 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 4 | - |
| Steve Novak | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 43 | 10-24 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| David West * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| George Hill * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Green | 16 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter