Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (125-119). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 47 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 47 | 7-21 | 2-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 46 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| DeQuan Jones * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 39 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| JJ Redick | 32 | 11-17 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Ish Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Harkless | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 45 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 43 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 42 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 42 | 7-17 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 42 | 12-22 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Victor Claver | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter