Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +6 (100-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Vince Carter | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Elton Brand | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 18 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jared Cunningham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 34 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Alec Burks | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Earl Watson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter