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2013-01-06 ยท Final/OT

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Margin 28.0% 72.0% - โœ—
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (101-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tyrus Thomas * 38 4-14 0-0 5-5 5 0 1 1 1 13 5 -
Bismack Biyombo * 34 3-6 0-0 4-4 17 0 0 0 0 10 21 -
Kemba Walker * 33 9-23 0-4 2-2 2 7 2 1 3 20 6 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 32 3-10 0-1 5-5 8 0 0 1 0 11 10 -
Jeffery Taylor * 22 4-6 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
Ben Gordon 29 7-12 2-5 2-2 3 4 3 0 2 18 14 -
Ramon Sessions 22 5-11 1-2 4-4 2 1 2 0 2 15 7 -
Gerald Henderson 22 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 1 1 6 5 -
Brendan Haywood 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 2 3 -
Jeff Adrien 12 2-2 0-0 1-4 3 2 1 0 1 5 8 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 41 9-15 1-3 2-2 7 3 1 1 4 21 14 -
Greg Monroe * 37 7-10 0-0 4-5 14 6 0 1 1 18 28 -
Brandon Knight * 32 5-11 0-3 2-4 4 1 0 1 4 12 3 -
Jason Maxiell * 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 3 2 4 5 -
Kyle Singler * 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 4 2 -
Rodney Stuckey 33 6-11 3-5 3-4 0 1 3 0 3 18 8 -
Andre Drummond 27 5-6 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 3 1 10 13 -
Will Bynum 24 2-9 1-5 0-0 2 9 1 0 1 5 7 -
Charlie Villanueva 19 3-8 3-8 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 9 2 -
Austin Daye 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter