Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -12 (92-104). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 34 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson * | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 32 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 33 | 10-14 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Lowry | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Landry Fields | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| John Lucas III | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter