Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +26 (115-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| David Lee * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Carl Landry | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Draymond Green | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Green * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 10-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 30 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 29 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 26 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter