Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (97-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 38 | 9-11 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 37 | 7-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Victor Claver | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Cunningham * | 42 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 42 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 29 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 21 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 25 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 17 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lazar Hayward | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter