Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -8 (104-112). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lin * | 38 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| James Harden * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 14-15 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 25 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 27 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Greg Smith | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 26 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 10-24 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 25 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 28 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Luke Walton | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter