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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% +9.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (95-80). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 35 8-19 2-4 3-4 4 3 2 0 4 21 7 -
Brandon Jennings * 33 4-15 1-5 3-4 4 5 3 0 2 12 7 -
Ekpe Udoh * 28 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 4 6 -
Larry Sanders * 28 6-11 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 4 1 12 17 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 19 1-6 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
John Henson 26 1-6 0-1 4-6 13 1 1 2 3 6 14 -
Mike Dunleavy 23 3-8 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 7 0 -
Beno Udrih 22 4-7 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 8 5 -
Tobias Harris 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
Drew Gooden 6 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Doron Lamb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Marquis Daniels 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 35 4-11 0-1 0-0 9 4 1 0 6 8 5 -
George Hill * 32 7-16 0-4 0-0 8 4 0 0 0 14 10 -
Roy Hibbert * 30 8-16 0-0 4-4 15 0 0 5 2 20 22 -
David West * 25 3-9 0-0 4-6 6 3 1 0 0 10 11 -
Lance Stephenson * 23 5-8 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 10 8 -
D.J. Augustin 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 8 9 -
Tyler Hansbrough 20 3-6 0-0 3-8 6 0 0 1 0 9 10 -
Gerald Green 18 2-10 1-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 -2 -
Ian Mahinmi 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Orlando Johnson 11 3-8 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 7 0 -
Jeff Ayres 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Ben Hansbrough 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter