Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (95-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 33 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| John Henson | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| George Hill * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 30 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| David West * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Green | 18 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 11 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter