Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (106-114). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 45 | 14-29 | 4-9 | 8-9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 23 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 36 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| JR Smith | 31 | 8-18 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Steve Novak | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameer Nelson * | 40 | 10-20 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| DeQuan Jones * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| JJ Redick | 27 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Maurice Harkless | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ish Smith | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter