Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (80-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 29 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 25 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Alec Burks | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Earl Watson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Gortat * | 40 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 12 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter