Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -14 (101-115). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 27 | 8-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 25 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 20 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Greg Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Scott Machado | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 30 | 5-19 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| John Henson | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 23 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter