Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +19 (94-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 31 | 4-18 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| David West * | 28 | 4-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 22 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Green | 21 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 24 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 22 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jared Sullinger | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 23 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Collins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jason Terry | 14 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jarvis Varnado | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter