Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (85-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Teague * | 41 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 40 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Al Horford * | 39 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| John Jenkins | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 2-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 24 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Austin Daye | 22 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Will Bynum | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter