Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -2 (104-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Miles * | 38 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 37 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 10-21 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Luke Walton | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson * | 32 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 12-12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 27 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 21 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter