Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -4 (97-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 23 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 25 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 29 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 22 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter