Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks +17 (100-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Danny Green * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 23 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Gary Neal | 23 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Patty Mills | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 13 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 9 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Jackson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith | 27 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Steve Novak | 21 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| James White | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter