Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +22 (106-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexey Shved * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 17 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lazar Hayward | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Earl Watson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 23 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alec Burks | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter