Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +12 (104-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 17 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lance Thomas * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 28 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jason Smith | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Dominic McGuire | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lin * | 41 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| James Harden * | 40 | 11-23 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 14 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 24 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 22 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Greg Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter