Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (99-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 40 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 39 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 22 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nick Young | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 42 | 14-29 | 1-6 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 35 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Darius Morris * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Metta World Peace | 32 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter