Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (86-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 41 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 40 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 37 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| John Jenkins | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 38 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lance Thomas * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 32 | 9-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 27 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Eric Gordon | 23 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -4 | - |
| Jason Smith | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter