Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (114-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 41 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 11-24 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 29 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Nick Collison | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter