Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +18 (101-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 40 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -2 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 32 | 4-20 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Green | 33 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jared Sullinger | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kris Joseph | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jarvis Varnado | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | - |
| David Lee * | 32 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 32 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Carl Landry | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Draymond Green | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter