Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +17 (104-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 4-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 25 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Will Barton | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 30 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 8-11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Darius Morris * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Metta World Peace | 21 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 17 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Devin Ebanks | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Earl Clark | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter