Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -8 (94-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou Williams * | 40 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 35 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Al Horford * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 32 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Mike Scott | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Jenkins | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 12-20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 35 | 7-21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| CJ Miles | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Luke Walton | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter