Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (97-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Telfair * | 40 | 8-20 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| David West * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 32 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Gerald Green | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
* = starter