Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +8 (105-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 9-21 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 34 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| JJ Redick | 34 | 9-18 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ish Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 13 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 34 | 11-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 34 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 32 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jan Vesely | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter