Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +12 (112-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Faried * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 27 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Andre Miller | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 16 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Quincy Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Willie Green * | 17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 31 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 30 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 30 | 9-21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 4 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter