Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -23 (97-120). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 36 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| James Harden * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 11-13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Greg Smith | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Scott Machado | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Belinelli * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 21 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 27 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter