Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +17 (92-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 27 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 16 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 31 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mike Scott | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| John Jenkins | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter