Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (87-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 34 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Austin Daye | 22 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 21 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Will Bynum | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 43 | 7-17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 11-12 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jan Vesely | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter