Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (115-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson * | 33 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 33 | 6-17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 22 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 13 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 9-17 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| David Lee * | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Carl Landry | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Draymond Green | 19 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter