Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +8 (101-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 26 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Andre Miller | 27 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 13 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 7-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Joel Freeland * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 26 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Victor Claver | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Barton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter