Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +16 (93-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 41 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 27 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Lance Thomas * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 26 | 2-13 | 0-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Dominic McGuire | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 15 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Darius Miller | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Willie Green * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 31 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 22 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter