Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | +12.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +10 (90-80). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 41 | 9-26 | 3-9 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 6 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 34 | 1-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Henson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joel Przybilla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 31 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 30 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 16 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter