Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +17 (121-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Mullens * | 39 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 37 | 9-14 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 31 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 26 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 21 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Gortat * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 34 | 10-16 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 33 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 14 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Luke Zeller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter