Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +22 (125-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Maalik Wayns * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 39 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Nick Young | 34 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 23 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 37 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 17-18 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 29 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 31 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 25 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Smith | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Terrence Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter