Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +20 (104-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Earl Watson | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alec Burks | 13 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 33 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| George Hill * | 29 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| David West * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Green | 23 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sam Young | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter