Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +7 (90-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford * | 41 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 31 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 39 | 6-18 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 38 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| JJ Redick | 26 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 19 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter