Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +7 (103-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 34 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Lance Thomas * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 40 | 8-22 | 4-14 | 8-8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 6 | - |
| Dominic McGuire | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 13 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| David Lee * | 37 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Carl Landry | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Draymond Green | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter