Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (107-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Nick Young * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 29 | 8-18 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 36 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Darren Collison | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Vince Carter | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter