Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -2 (90-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Evans | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter