Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -14 (99-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 32 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 31 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Linas Kleiza | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| John Lucas III | 15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Gee * | 40 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 12-16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| CJ Miles | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Luke Walton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter