Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -5 (95-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 44 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 38 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Lou Williams | 39 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford * | 44 | 10-22 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 40 | 8-22 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter