Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (101-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 25 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 23 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 22 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| James Johnson | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 28 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 13 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter