Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +9 (80-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Noah * | 41 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 40 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 39 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 20 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter